vendredi 30 mars 2012

People Are Irrational, But Teams Don't Have to Be

When most organizations design new work processes, they assume that team members will make the best possible use of them to improve team performance. That is, they assume that team members will act rationally. In most cases, this assumption is wrong.
Compelling evidence from research in the fields of psychology and behavioral economics suggests that people behave in ways that are far from rational. For instance, we systematically underestimate task-completion times — a tendency known as "planning fallacy" — and postpone tasks repeatedly over time (i.e., procrastinate).
We also tend to overestimate the accuracy of our own thoughts and the odds of our success — that is, we tend to be overconfident. These tendencies are common, yet when we make decisions intended to improve how effectively teams perform tasks, we regularly fail to account for them.
This was brought home to me in my field research. Here's a case in point:
In 2004, my HBS colleague Gary Pisano and I conducted a project at a leading manufacturer of highly sophisticated production equipment for the electronics industry, which I'll call "Exotech." Like many companies, Exotech struggled with serious time delays in its product-development projects. As the market became more competitive and customers more demanding, Exotech's senior management launched a systematic effort to improve its product-development performance through more rigorous upfront planning, a well-defined process, clear milestones for project reviews, cross-functional project teams with strong leaders, and rigorous post-project reviews to glean lessons learned.
As part of this effort, the company decided to use tools to drive high levels of performance on a new project that required both hardware and software components. The hardware team had employed similar processes in the past and found them helpful. So the company assumed the software team would, too. The project set strict timelines, formulated schedules based on careful analysis of critical paths, and carefully tracked progress using a sophisticated web-based scheduling tool that provided daily updates on progress and early warnings about potential slips. The teams working on this project were given thorough training in these tools and were aided by dedicated project coordinators who collected the appropriate information, ran the analyses, and provided them to the team in weekly meetings.
The results? The project ran successfully for hardware development, and the project management tools worked exactly as expected. But the results were much different on the software side. In fact, the software-development effort began to run late from the beginning and never caught up. The software was finished about six months behind schedule and led to a delay in the shipment of the first commercial systems.
What was puzzling about Exotech's results was that the project-management tools put in place were designed to provide information — early warning of problems — that could help the project team respond to them and reduce or even eliminate delays. But they didn't for the software-development team. The reasons: The team members were overly confident of their ability to complete the project on time and ignored the information that the tools provided that suggested that they were falling behind.
This case is not an isolated example. In my research, I have found that these behaviors are common.
Here are three potential solutions to address all-too-human irrational behavior:
1. Educate Team Members
In some cases, learning about our own irrationalities can help us understand why we make decision mistakes and try to correct for them. The members of the software team at Exotech may have used the tools if they understood the psychological tendency people have to resist change even when change will lead to better performance.
2. Encourage Dissenting Views
Unfortunately, even if someone is aware of his or her behavioral tendencies, that's not enough to overcome them. An antidote is to encourage members of the team to express their dissenting views. Forcing individuals to interact with others who question or challenge their conclusions is likely to reduce overconfidence, combat the natural reluctance to embrace change, and other tendencies that may disrupt team effectiveness.
3. Change the Process, Not the People.
When interpreting the world around us, we often overemphasize our own impact and underemphasize the role of environmental factors. But the environment can greatly influence our behavior and can compensate for our irrationalities. So another way to compensate or minimize the impact of irrational human behavior is to improve the environment or processes. For instance, Microsoft tries to correct for the overly optimistic projections of individual software developers by setting rules about the amount of buffer time that should be added to projects.
Together, these three strategies can help you introduce tools and processes that combat irrational human behavior and enhance team performance.
This post is part of the HBR Insight Center on The Secrets of Great Teams.

By Francesca Gino 
http://blogs.hbr.org/hbsfaculty/2012/03/when-designing-work-processes.html?awid=7713774882025583693-3271

jeudi 29 mars 2012

Oracle and HP Trade Punches on Eve of Itanium Trial

On the first anniversary of their bitter spat over the ill-fated Itanium chip, Oracle and HP have both asked a federal court to settle the battle before it actually goes to trial.
On March 23, 2011, Oracle told the world that it would cease development of the software it built for HP systems based on Itanium, a high-end server chip HP developed in tandem with Intel. HP subsequently sued Oracle, claiming breach of contract, and yes, Oracle then counter sued. The spat is set for trial on May 31, but this week both companies asked federal judge James Kleinberg to settle the matter before it actually goes to court.
On Monday, HP filed two pretrial motions asking the judge to evaluate the merits of Oracle’s countersuit ahead of trial. This is a common pre-trial tactic, but HP is looking to get the judge to throw out Oracle’s countersuit before it goes any further.
“[The key facts of this case] has led HP to seek a pretrial ruling that Oracle is contractually obligated to offer future versions of Oracle’s software on Itanium,” read the canned statement from HP. “It is time for Oracle to quit pursuing baseless accusations and honor its commitments to HP and to our shared customers.”
Oracle wasted no time in filing a summary judgment of its own, and sending out a typically colorful statement. “Rather than filing a legal motion, HP has yet again filed a press release that continues its campaign of lies about the Itanium roadmap,” read a statement from Oracle attorney Dan Wall. “HP’s PR Director admitted the lawsuit was conceived as part of a campaign designed to ‘foment customer outrage.’ HP’s documents and executive deposition testimony make indisputable the fact that Itanium is nearing the end of life as Oracle said.”
When Oracle dropped Itanium from its software roadmap last year, it claimed that the Itanium processor was dying as Intel focused on chips that use its traditional x86 architecture. But HP thinks there’s still life in the thing, and it argues that Oracle is contractually obligated to continue its support for the chip. Oracle counters that HP is misleading the market by continuing to prop up Itanium. Both Intel and Red Hat have been subpoenaed in the suit
In its countersuit, Oracle says HP deceived customers by failing to disclose the payment terms of its contract with Intel for the development of the Itanium microprocessor. HP says this is “baseless as evidenced by the fact that Mark Hurd — the current president of Oracle and HP’s former chief executive officer who was responsible for ‘closing the deal’ with Intel — disagrees with the claim.”
Even before Oracle pulled its Itanium support, tensions were high between the two companies because of Hurd’s departure from HP and subsequent re-emergence at Oracle. Hurd is an old tennis buddy of Oracle CEO Larry Ellison. Hurd was dismissed from HP amid claims of sexual harassment, and Oracle promptly snapped him up, claiming HP treated Hurd unfairly.
In the legal case, HP cites its settlement agreement with Hurd and Oracle over his hiring as evidence that Oracle must continue support for Itanium. But Oracle thinks this is nonsense. “We don’t believe, nor do we think HP really believes, that a settlement agreement relating to Mark Hurd’s employment could possibly obligate Oracle to write new software for a platform that is clearly end of life,” read his statement. “We are pleased the Court now has the evidence needed to see HP’s purported contract claims for what they are.”

By March 27, 2012
http://www.wired.com/wiredenterprise/2012/03/oracle-hp-itanium/

Image : Oracle and HP keep up the good fight over the Itanium chip. Image: abolotnov/Flickr